Although the outcome of next month’s U.S. presidential election hangs in the balance, analysts suggest that for many in China, the result will be the same regardless of who wins: more tariffs, heightened tensions, and a trade war that shows no signs of letting up.
On November 5, Americans will head to the polls to decide between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, with polls indicating a close race between the two candidates.
Governments worldwide are aiming to prevent a repeat of the turbulence experienced during Trump’s presidency. However, Beijing is preparing for continued intense trade disputes, no matter who occupies the White House.
U.S. presidential election
Both candidates have vowed to take a tougher stance on China, the world’s second-largest economy and one of Washington’s key trading partners, aiming to ensure that the United States “prevails” in the great power competition.
“A Harris administration would employ a scalpel, and a Trump administration a hammer,” said Thibault Denamiel, associate fellow at Washington’s Center for Strategic and International Studies.
As a matter of principle, Beijing does not comment on the elections of other countries, although it has expressed opposition to China being used as a topic in campaign discussions.
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